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The yield of 2/10-year German bonds rose by about 8 basis points at most. At the end of the European market on Thursday (December 12), the yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 7.8 basis points to 2.205%, which was in a rising state for most of the day. It was as low as 2.123% at 21:56 Beijing time (shortly after the press conference of European Central Bank President Lagarde began, before the US stock market closed), and then rebounded. The yield of two-year German bonds rose by 7.3 basis points, reaching a new high of 2.204%, which was 1.915% lower than the new low of 21:43 (after the European Central Bank announced the third interest rate cut in the year, after the release of American PPI and before the start of Lagarde's press conference). The yield of 30-year German bonds rose by 6.9 basis points to 2.445%, which was on the rise all day. The yield spread of 2/10-year German bonds rose by 0.838 basis points to +18.116 basis points, and rose to +20.614 basis points at 21:43. British 10-year bond yields rose by 4.6 basis points, and two-year British bond yields rose by 2.3 basis points. The yield spread of 2/10-year British bonds rose by 2.311 basis points to +8.709 basis points.The composite index of Athens Stock Exchange closed up 0.44% at 1464.03.Canada Post withdrew the dismissal of the strikers. The strike continued. On the 11th local time, the trade union representing the Canadian postal workers issued a statement late at night, saying that under the mediation of the Industrial Relations Committee, a settlement agreement had been reached with Canada Post on the dismissal of the previous strikers, and Canada Post would withdraw their dismissal. However, Canada Post said that according to the terms of the settlement agreement, the company reserves the right to make personnel adjustments if necessary in the future. On November 28th, local time, the trade union representing the postal workers in Canada said in a notice sent to its members that since the postal workers went on strike, Canada Post Company has been dismissing striking employees. Up to now, the Canada Post strike has lasted for four weeks, and there is still no sign of ending.

Russia said it cracked down on several Ukrainian military equipment and repulsed Russia's multi-directional attacks. The Russian Defense Ministry issued a war report on the 12th, saying that in the past day, Russian armed forces killed and wounded 1,345 Ukrainian troops and destroyed many Ukrainian military equipment including tanks, armored vehicles and American howitzers. Russian air defense forces shot down four American-made "Haima" rockets and 37 drones of the Ukrainian army. In addition, Russian troops also controlled the "Zarija" settlement in Donetsk. According to the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, there were 203 battles in the frontline area in the past day, and the situation on the frontline remained grim. The Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units destroyed many Russian military personnel assembly areas and control points. In the direction of Kharkov, Pokrovsk and Kulahovo, the Ukrainian army repelled many Russian attacks. In addition, the Ukrainian army continued to carry out operations in the Kursk region.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.The allocation percentage of the 30-year treasury bond auction-winning interest rate in the United States from December 12 was 44.76%, and the previous value was 14.83%. The auction of 30-year treasury bonds in the United States until December 12-the bid multiple is 2.39, and the previous value is 2.64. The auction of 30-year treasury bonds in the United States until December 12-the winning interest rate is 4.535%, and the previous value is 4.608%.

Morgan Stanley raised the S&P global target price from $570.00 to $595.00.Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute: The Central Economic Work Conference further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to give play to the traction role of economic system reform and promote the implementation of landmark reform measures. High-quality completion of the deepening and upgrading of state-owned enterprise reform, the introduction of private economy promotion law. Carry out special actions to standardize law enforcement involving enterprises. Formulate guidelines for the construction of a unified national market. Strengthen supervision and promote the healthy development of platform economy. Make overall plans to promote the reform of the fiscal and taxation system and increase local independent financial resources. Deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system. Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute, told reporters that the meeting put forward a very targeted statement on the private economy. Among them, expressions such as "Promulgating the Private Economy Promotion Law" and "Launching Special Actions to Standardize Law Enforcement of Enterprises" have further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy, which is expected to create a more favorable policy environment for the development of the private economy. (SSE)Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute: The Central Economic Work Conference further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to give play to the traction role of economic system reform and promote the implementation of landmark reform measures. High-quality completion of the deepening and upgrading of state-owned enterprise reform, the introduction of private economy promotion law. Carry out special actions to standardize law enforcement involving enterprises. Formulate guidelines for the construction of a unified national market. Strengthen supervision and promote the healthy development of platform economy. Make overall plans to promote the reform of the fiscal and taxation system and increase local independent financial resources. Deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system. Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute, told reporters that the meeting put forward a very targeted statement on the private economy. Among them, expressions such as "Promulgating the Private Economy Promotion Law" and "Launching Special Actions to Standardize Law Enforcement of Enterprises" have further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy, which is expected to create a more favorable policy environment for the development of the private economy. (SSE)